Tuesday, December 18, 2007

NFL Playoff Table--Some Scenarios

After the Vikings win last night, there are only five teams still alive for the two wild card berths, the Giants, Vikings, Saints, Redskins and Panthers. So here are the four main scenarios:

  • The Vikings finish 2-0. In this scenario, the Vikings would make the playoffs. If the Giants finish 2-0, the Vikings would be the six seed. If the Giants finish 1-1, the Vikings would be the fifth seed.
  • The Vikings finish 1-1 by beating the Redskins and losing to the Broncos. In this scenario, the Vikings would need the Saints to lose at least one of their remaining games, or for the Giants to lose both of their remaining games in order to make the playoffs. (A win on Sunday coupled with a Saints loss would clinch a playoff berth for the Purple).
  • The Vikings finish 1-1 by losing to the Broncos and losing to the Redskins. In this scenario, the Vikings would need two of the following to happen in order to make the playoffs: the Saints lose at least one of their remaining games, the Giants lose both of their remaining games and the Redskins lose their final game against Dallas.
  • The Vikings finish 0-2. In this scenario, the Vikings would miss the playoffs, as the Giants would finish ahead of them, the Redskins would be guaranteed to have at least an 8-8 record with the head to head tiebreaker over the Vikings and they would lose tiebreakers to an 8-8 Saints team (NFC Record) or an 8-8 Panthers team, so they couldn't sneak in via a three way tie.

Team

W-L

NFC Record

Division Record

Tie Breakers

NFC Games Left

AFC Games Left

NYG

9-5

7-5

3-3

None

None

@ BUF, NE

MIN
8-6
6-5
3-3
NYG
WAS
DEN

NO

7-7

6-4

3-3

None

PHI, @CHI

None

WAS

7-7

5-5

2-3

None

@MIN, DAL

None

CAR

6-8

7-4

2-3

None

DAL, @TB

None

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Thanks for figuring this out. Couldn't understand why the saints would beat us with the same record. I think your third point needs revisioning. Good work!